Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.023352 0.025097 0.026916 0.028956 0.031180 0.033536 0.036222
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.020303 0.022793 0.025523 0.028750 0.032471 0.036640 0.041685
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018425 0.021368 0.024723 0.028851 0.033819 0.039640 0.047025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016781 0.019967 0.023711 0.028468 0.034397 0.041602 0.051108
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015378 0.018690 0.022684 0.027898 0.034591 0.042982 0.054439
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014350 0.017771 0.021990 0.027634 0.035073 0.044670 0.058191
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013464 0.016954 0.021346 0.027350 0.035458 0.046192 0.061756
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012562 0.016051 0.020519 0.026747 0.035340 0.046982 0.064311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.012097 0.015685 0.020362 0.027009 0.036382 0.049388 0.069273
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011571 0.015202 0.020011 0.026967 0.036973 0.051165 0.073411
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011223 0.014935 0.019932 0.027286 0.038076 0.053719 0.078865
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010715 0.014421 0.019477 0.027034 0.038317 0.054995 0.082415
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010286 0.014000 0.019137 0.026934 0.038783 0.056647 0.086702
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009807 0.013485 0.018637 0.026568 0.038819 0.057631 0.089969
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009488 0.013184 0.018429 0.026622 0.039492 0.059638 0.095060
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009076 0.012729 0.017971 0.026266 0.039494 0.060557 0.098349
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008648 0.012231 0.017426 0.025746 0.039198 0.060958 0.100745
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008323 0.011872 0.017074 0.025505 0.039333 0.062069 0.104465
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.008014 0.011525 0.016723 0.025247 0.039418 0.063090 0.108080
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007652 0.011083 0.016208 0.024699 0.038986 0.063186 0.109969
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007502 0.010959 0.016180 0.024937 0.039890 0.065656 0.116520
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007295 0.010739 0.015991 0.024899 0.040312 0.067288 0.121568
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007174 0.010648 0.016000 0.025189 0.041317 0.070024 0.129004